【Second Opinion】The Problem is the CCP (Mark Simon)

蘋果日報 2018/07/11 16:04


For the last week or so I have put out some tweets asking when will Donald Trump come to realize that his problems of late with North Korea or China-US Trade isn't China, but rather the Chinese Communist Party(CCP).
Trump complaining about China slowing his North Korea dealings is like blaming a forest fire on wood rather than the guy with a flamethrower lighting everything up. For in terms of interference there really is no China, no act of the Chinese people that effects an outcome, there is only the CCP, the Communists.
Sometime around 1980 the West whitewashed Chinese communism after we discovered how much money we could all make by moving jobs from the West to China and selling back to the West what those jobs produce. From that time forward the West declared China a budding capitalist nation with over a billion people waiting to get rich.
Only problem is the unelected leaders of the CCP who rule China from behind the barrel of a gun didn't get the memo. Worse yet, Western business fell in love with no unions, cheap labor, lax environmental standards, and started to do all they could to insulate the CCP from outside pressure. Watching companies such as Goldman Sachs, Blackrock, United Airlines, and even those blocked from China like Facebook, carry water for the CCP in Western capitals is stomach churning.
Yet, that might be up. China, with the CCP at the helm is a rising power that is throwing its weight around. From the South China Sea to trying to influence government policy in Australia, the CCP is gaining attention as a disruptive entity in terms of driving China's massive power to negative ends.
For the hard work of many US Presidents, and all who tried, with good intent, to foster a peaceful rise of China we now have an answer on how China will integrate with the world, the middle finger from the CCP.
The world is interested in a peaceful engagement with China. But the only peaceful happening the CCP is interested in is a lack of resistance by the world to the interests of the Chinese Communist Party at home and abroad.
From three recent trips to Washington DC and multiple meetings there is no doubt that Trump's NSC, under John Bolton, views the CCP as the problem in terms of what the US wants to get done in North Korea. Question is when does Trump buy into this end and when does he start tweeting based on that conclusion?
Trump in decision making is like my boss Jimmy Lai, Rupert Murdoch, and other great business leaders. Other than legal, few of the great ones actually take advice. Rather they take in information. These leaders operate from strong and predictable premises, but they are unromantic pragmatists. When information changes they change their course of action.
Trump is growing frustrated with what he sees as unreasonable actions by China on Trade and now North Korea. He has great faith in his friendship with President Xi, probably a bit too much. But after a while, as information from State, DOD, and his own NSC filter through, my bet is that Donald Trump comes to the same conclusion on China that Ronald Reagan came to about the Soviet Union.
Remember, Reagan wasn't after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, he just wanted the end of the communist party.